Nationwide:
Winter wheat: Production is forecast at 1.13 billion bushels, up 2 percent from 2022. As of May 1, the United States yield is forecast at 44.7 bushels per acre, down 2.3 bushels from last year’s average yield of 47.0 bushels per acre. Area expected to be harvested for grain is forecast at 25.3 million acres, up 8 percent from last year. Producers expect to harvest 67 percent of the planted acres for grain. If realized, this harvest ratio would be the lowest since 1917. Dry conditions in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas are factoring into the increased abandonment.
As of April 30, the winter wheat crop in Kansas and Oklahoma was rated in poor to very poor condition at 64 percent and 61 percent, respectively. Spring drought conditions have caused condition ratings to worsen compared with last year in these States.
OKLAHOMA:
According to the USDA’s crop production report released on May 12, 2023, Oklahoma’s wheat production for 2023 is forecasted to be significantly lower than in 2022.
In 2022, Oklahoma produced 68.6 million bushels of winter wheat. The 2023 forecast by USDA is sitting at 49.4 million bushels, which is about 28 percent less than the 2022 production numbers.
Oklahoma is forecasted to harvest 2.15 million acres of winter wheat in 2023, which is below the 2022 acres harvested, which was 2.45 million acres.
USDA estimates Oklahoma to yield 23 bushels per acre in 2023, which is below the 2022 yield of 28 bushels per acre.
KANSAS:
In 2022, Kansas produced 244.2 million bushels of winter wheat. The 2023 forecast by USDA is 191.4 million bushels, which is about 22 percent less than the 2022 production numbers.
Kansas is forecasted to harvest 6.6 million acres of winter wheat in 2023, which is even with the 2022 acres harvested.
USDA estimated Kansas to yield 29 bushels per acre in 2023, which is below the 2022 yield of 37 bushels per acre.
TEXAS:
In 2022, Texas produced 39 million bushels of winter wheat. The 2023 forecast by USDA is 56 million bushels, which is about 30 percent more than the 2022 production numbers.
Texas is forecasted to harvest 2 million acres of winter wheat in 2023, which is above the 2022 acres harvested of 1.3 million.
USDA estimates Texas to yield 28 bushels per acre in 2023, which is slightly below the 2022 yield of 30 bushels per acre.