Much of cattle country is in the midst of a severe winter event including extremely cold temperatures and, in some regions, heavy snow and/or ice. These conditions create numerous management challenges for cattle producers and will impact cattle markets in the coming weeks and perhaps months.
Prolonged sub-freezing temperatures require much additional effort by cattle producers to ensure water availability (chopping ice) and provide additional feed required to maintain cattle. For cow-calf operations in calving season the challenges are greater. Newborn calves are especially vulnerable to cold weather until they get dried off and successfully nurse. It takes additional effort to save calves and avoid frozen ears, tails and feet. Calf losses may impact cattle supplies in the coming months. The cold temperatures will reduce feedlot cattle performance, adding additional days to finish cattle and reducing carcass weights and beef production in the coming weeks.
The January Cattle on Feed report showed an on-feed total of 11.45 million head to start the year, down 3.2 percent year over year and the fourteenth consecutive month of declining feedlot inventories. Average feedlot inventories for the past year (twelve-month moving average) are now at the lowest level since September 2018 and are down 3.8 percent from the cyclical peak in September 2022.
December feedlot placements were down 5.4 percent from one year ago and were the ninth consecutive month of lower placements. Total placements for the last six months account for 92 percent of the current feedlot inventory and were down 8.2 percent year over year. Figure 1 shows the sharp decrease in average feedlot placements and marketings.
Feedlot marketings in December were higher than last year, up 1.8 percent year over year. Slightly higher December marketings follows an 11.9 percent drop in November marketings and was the first increase in monthly marketings in eight months. Total marketings the past six months were down 6.9 percent year over year.
The January Cattle on Feed report also included the quarterly inventory of steers and heifers in feedlots. Heifers as a percentage of feedlot inventories increased to 38.7 percent, the highest level in the last year. Figure 2 shows that heifers continue to make up an above average share of total cattle on feed and suggest limited heifer retention thus far. USDA will release the Cattle report on January 30 and provide data on cattle inventories, including the inventory of replacement heifers.
Derrell Peel, Livestock Marketing Specialist, breaks down the latest cattle market trends, what’s driving the rebound, and what producers should watch for in the coming weeks on SunUpTV from January 17, 2026. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXfGRTOjlRI
