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          | Oklahoma's Latest Farm and Ranch News 
          Presented by
 
 
  
 
          
          
          Your Update from Ron Hays of RON 
             Wednesday, February 10, 2016 |      
         
          | Howdy Neighbors!   
          Here is your daily Oklahoma farm and ranch news
          update. 
 |  |  
        | 
         
          | 
           Final Obama Budget- The Good, The Bad
          and
   
          US Ag Secretary Tom Vilsack
          met with reporters via teleconference about President Obama's final
          budget as a sitting President, and pointed to several priorities that
          he hopes that Congress will seriously consider as they work on agency
          appropriations for Fiscal Year 2017. Those priorities include an
          increase in Ag Research spending, an expansion of the Summer Feeding
          Program, fixing the Fire Budget and giving USDA the authority to
          expand their presence in Cuba. 
 At the same time, the administration wants to reduce the level of premium
          subsidies for crop insurance- cuts that would total $18 Billion
          Dollars over a ten year period. I participated in that USDA Budget
          Briefing for reporters on Tuesday- and here are a few keys- taking
          our headline above backwards-
 
 The Absurd-
          This was not a part of the Vilsack pitch to reporters- but the $10
          per barrel tax on crude oil certainly qualifies as being absurd,
          according to several key lawmakers- including the Oklahoma
          Congressional delegation.
 
 Word of the proposed tax was met with a denouncement from U.S. Sen. James Lankford.
 
 "This is not only a higher tax, it is a new type of tax,"
          said the Senator. "Creating yet another type of gas tax would
          further complicate the tax code and raise prices on consumers."
 
 The Bad-
          Major Cut in Crop Insurance Funding.
 
 One area that the USDA wants to cut funding in the coming fiscal year
          comes in the Crop Insurance subsidies. A USDA
          fact sheet says the budget contains two proposals to reform the
          crop insurance program: "The first would reduce subsidies for
          revenue insurance policies that insure the price at the time of
          harvest. The second would reform prevented planting coverage,
          including removing optional buy-up coverage. These proposals will
          modify the structure of the crop insurance program so that it is less
          costly to the taxpayer, yet still provides a safety net for farmers.
          Collectively, these proposals are expected to save $18 billion over
          10 years," including $1.26 billion in FY 2017 alone, according
          to the fact sheet.
 
 
 Both Chairmen of the Agriculture Committees, Senator
          Pat Roberts and Congressman Mike
          Conaway, blasted the attack on the Crop Insurance program. Click
          on the name of each lawmaker to see their complete statements about
          the proposals from the Administration.
 
          Now, at least one group considers the cuts to Crop Insurance are
          Good. The Environmental
          Working Group released a statement- saying
          the proposed cuts to crop insurance and other expensive farm
          subsidy programs in the Obama administration's 2017 budget would be
          good for taxpayers and the environment.  Click
          or tap here to read more from EWG. 
 
 One area that main stream ag groups as well as Conservation interests
          were upbeat about was the Conservation parts of the Obama Budget- we
          talk about those positives in Story Two.
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          | 
           NACD Says Obama Budget
          Has Positive Movement in Conservation Spending
 
          The
          National
          Association of Conservation Districts have offered
          praise for a budget that does not propose to cut conservation
          spending in the coming fiscal year, in contrast to the last several
          budget proposals from President Obama that called for Conservation
          Spending reductions. In particular, the Administration did not
          propose cuts to the EQIP program- and USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack
          talked about the importance of EQIP in helping achieve the
          Administration's goals in dealing with Climate Change in his Media
          Briefing on the USDA Budget on Tuesday- you can hear his comments on
          EQIP by clicking here.
 
 According to the statement from the NACD, "the President's
          budget includes positive movement by the administration toward more
          conservation-minded practices and acknowledges the success of
          voluntary incentive-based conservation practices coupled with local
          delivery and technical assistance."
 
 
 "The President's proposed budget signals strong awareness in the
          administration that conservation practices are the key to our future
          as a nation and as a sustainable provider for the world's growing
          population," said NACD President Lee McDaniel.
 
 
 You can read
          more on our website about conservation efforts included in the
          President's budget.
 |    
         
          | 
           Tuesday Supply Demand
          Reports Have Little Encouraging News for Wheat, Corn or Soybeans- Tom
          Leffler Analyzes
 
          The U.S. continues to battle plentiful global wheat
          supplies and the weakest export sales in more than 40 years. That's
          according to Market Analyst Tom
          Leffler of Leffler Commodities. On Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture
          released the latest U.S. ending stocks and the World Agricultural Supply and
          Demand Estimate (WASDE) reports. Leffler said the
          latest domestic and global ending stocks reports offered nothing
          price supportive for wheat, corn or soybeans. 
 
 The U.S. ending stocks report came in close to trade expectations.
          Leffler said the report as a whole was slightly negative, as there
          were changes in demand. U.S. corn ending stock came in at 1.837
          billion bushels. That was 35 million bushels higher than the January
          report. U.S. corn export sales were lowered by 50 million bushels.
          Corn use for ethanol was increased by 25 million bushels. U.S.
          soybean ending stocks came in at 450 million bushels. That was ten
          million bushels higher than the January estimate. USDA lowered the
          bean crush in the U.S. by ten million bushels, while export sales
          were left unchanged. Leffler said there was no good news for the
          wheat market, as USDA increased ending stocks to 966 million bushels.
          That was 17 million bushels higher than what the trade expected and
          25 million bushels higher than the January estimate. He said this was
          the highest U.S. ending stocks since the 2009-2010 marketing year.
          Export sales came in 25 million bushels lower than last month.
          Leffler said that was the lowest export sales for wheat since the
          1971-1972 marketing year.
 
 
 Negative news also came out of the monthly WASDE report. Leffler said
          world is looking at record large world wheat ending stocks and world
          wheat production. World wheat ending stocks were increased by almost
          seven million metric tons. He said adjustments made by China
          accounted for about four million tons. Global corn ending stocks were
          adjusted lower by 130,000 metric ton. Leffler said Argentina's corn
          production was raised by 1.4 million metric ton and Brazil's corn
          production was increased by 2.5 million metric ton. World soybean
          ending stocks were increased by over one million metric tons. He said
          Brazil's bean crop estimate was left unchanged from the January
          estimate of 100 million metric tons and Argentina's bean production
          was increased by 1.5 million metric tons to 58.5 million metric tons.
 
 
 Leslie Smith interviewed Leffler and discussed both USDA reports. Click
          or tap here to hear the full interview.
 
 
 Click here
          for the U.S. ending stocks report.
 
 
 Click here
          for the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate report.
 
 |    
         
          | 
           USDA Expects Net
          Farm Income to Fall Modestly in 2016- After Huge Drops in 2014
          and  2015
 
          Farm sector profitability is forecast to decline for
          the third straight year, despite increased receipts for several
          commodities. That's according to the Farm Income and Financial
          Forecasts for 2015 and 2016, released by the U.S. Department of
          Agriculture's Economic Research Service. U.S. Agriculture Secretary Tom
          Vilsack said the farm income forecast showed
          improvement from recent years.
 
 "Overall, net farm income for all producers is forecast down
          slightly, three percent, relative to 2015," Vilsack said.
          "This is an improvement from the double digit declines seen in
          2014 and 2015, and it reflects a more competitive trade environment,
          softening projection for global demand and a continuation of the dip
          in agricultural commodity prices. While agricultural exports climbed
          more than 45 percent in value, totaling $911.4 billion over the past
          five years and besting all previous records in terms of value and
          volume and acting as an engine for America's farm economy, today's
          forecast shows how weaker foreign demand can weigh on farm
          income."
 
 
 Net cash farm income is forecast at $90.9 billion, down about 2.5
          percent from the 2015 forecast levels. Net farm income is forecast to
          be $54.8 billion in 2016, down three percent. If realized, 2016 net
          farm income would be the lowest since 2002 and a drop of 56 percent
          from its recent high of $123.3 billion in 2013.
 
 
 Cash receipts are forecast to fall $9.6 billion, about 2.5 percent in
          2016, led by a $7.9-billion or 4.3 percent drop in animal/animal
          product receipts and a $1.6-billion (0.9 percent) decline in crop
          receipts. Nearly all major animal specialties-including dairy, meat
          animals, and poultry/eggs- are forecast to have lower receipts, as
          are vegetables/melons and feed crops. While overall cash receipts are
          declining, receipts for several commodities are expected to increase
          by at least one percent relative to 2015 forecast levels. Direct
          government farm program payments are projected to rise $3.3 billion
          (31.4 percent) to $13.9 billion in 2016 in response to the expected
          price environment.
 
 
 Click
          here to read more about median income of farm households and
          the full forecast.
 |    
         
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          | 
           Value and Volume of US Beef Exports Fell in 2015- But
          USMEF's Phil Seng Says Several Countries Were Bright Spots
 
          Year-end
          export numbers for 2015 have been released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture
          and compiled by the U.S.
          Meat Export Federation (USMEF). December U.S. beef
          exports totaled over 94,000 mt, off six percent from a year ago and
          slightly lower than November. Export value fell 21 percent compared
          to a year ago. For 2015, beef exports were down 11 percent from a
          year ago in volume to 1.07 million mt. Export value was $6.3 billion,
          12 percent below the 2014 record of $7.14 billion. USMEF President
          and CEO Phil Seng said there's no question 2015 was a very
          challenging year for U.S. beef exports. 
 
 One of the bright spots for beef exports was the South Korean market.
          Seng credits the Korean Free Trade agreement that was put together
          four years ago. The U.S. now has a duty advantage over its
          competitors in that market. U.S beef exports to South Korea were up
          seven percent and that comes at a time with a limited supply of
          cattle and a strong U.S. dollar.
 
 
 U.S. beef exports also showed support from the North American Free
          Trade Agreement countries. Seng said exports in 2015 to the NAFTA
          neighbors were slightly lower, but still showed consistency from year
          to year. He was thankful there's nothing else impeding exports,
          because these two countries account for about 40 percent of the
          nation's beef exports. In December, repeal of the nation's mandatory
          Country of Origin Labeling (COOL) was signed into law by President
          Obama. That kept the U.S. from $1.01 billion in tariffs on U.S. goods
          in retaliation. Seng said repeal of COOL also helped the relationship
          between the three countries and will help build trust longer term.
 
 
 I caught up with him at the recent Cattle Industry Convention in San
          Diego. Click
          or tap here to listen to this Beef Buzz. Earlier, we had posted
          our full conversation with Seng as a part of our coverage from San
          Diego- it's available
          here.
 
 
 |    
         
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          to Have the Latest Energy News Delivered to Your Inbox Daily?  
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          broadcast journalist Jerry
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          | 
           Ethanol Exports Surge in December;
          DDGS Exports Set New Annual Record
 
          U.S. ethanol exports finished the year on a high note,
          with 81.7 million gallons (mg) of product shipping out to both
          emerging and longtime markets. Canada was the top destination in
          December, receiving 21.3 mg. Oman (13.4 mg), China (10.6 mg), the
          Philippines (8.8 mg), and the Netherlands (8.8 mg) were other leading
          importers of U.S. ethanol. December ethanol exports were up 39% over
          November, reaching their highest monthly level since March. As
          documented in a new statistical report released by the Renewable Fuels Association
          last week, U.S. ethanol exports totaled 836 mg in 2015-identical to
          the 2014 final tally. The RFA report provides details on top export
          destinations, shifts in the marketplace, ethanol import volumes, the
          value of exports, and other key data regarding U.S. ethanol trade in
          2015.
 
 Denatured fuel ethanol exports totaled 50.3 mg in December, the
          highest monthly total of the year and up 57% from November. At 19.3
          mg, Canada was once again the leading importer of denatured product.
          Meanwhile, Oman imported sizeable volumes (13.4 mg) of denatured fuel
          ethanol for just the third time on record. Relative newcomer China
          (10.6 mg), the Netherlands (4.3 mg), and Peru (2.6 mg) were other top
          spots for denatured fuel ethanol exports. December exports of
          undenatured fuel ethanol tallied at 28.6 mg, up 18% from November.
          The Philippines (8.8 mg), Brazil (6.4 mg), the Netherlands (4.5 mg),
          Belgium-Luxembourg (2.6 mg), and Mexico (2.2 mg) were the top five
          markets for undenatured product in December. Exports of denatured and
          undenatured ethanol for non-fuel, non-beverage purposes were 2.8 mg,
          with Canada receiving 2.0 mg.
 
 
 U.S. fuel ethanol imports fell to 9.4 mg in December, less than half
          of the November import volume. Total imports of fuel ethanol finished
          the year at 93.2 mg, up slightly from 2014. More than 99% of December
          imports originated in Brazil, with the remaining imports coming from
          Germany.  Click
          or tap here to read about the exports of U.S. distillers dried
          grains.
 |    
         
          | 
           This N That -Fire Danger
          at Critical Point, Big Iron Wednesday and Poultry Star Power- Von
          Miller
 
          Fire Danger is really high this week- much of Oklahoma
          has a lot of dry "ready to burn" grass and rangeland- and
          rising temps and strong winds add up to a dangerous situation across
          much of western Oklahoma. 
 Here's the map from the Oklahoma Mesonet as of early this morning-
          not a pretty sight.
 
 
  
 
 
          Click
          here for details from the National Weather Service on what they
          are calling critical fire danger in the counties affected.
 
          
          ************It's Wednesday- and that means the Big Iron folks will be busy
          closing out this week's auction items - all 360 items
          consigned.  Bidding will start at 10 AM central
          time.
 
          
          
          
          
          
          
          Click Here for the complete rundown
          of what is being sold on this no reserve online sale this week.
 
          
          
          If you'd like more information on buying and selling
          with Big Iron, call District Manager Mike Wolfe at 580-320-2718 and he
          can give you the full scoop.  You can also reach Mike via email
          by clicking or tapping here. 
          Before becoming a national champion with the Broncos
          over the weekend and before his professional career in football,
          Broncos linebacker Von
          Miller majored in poultry science at Texas A&M
          University. Now, Miller Farms, his backyard operations with a small chicken
          coop, along with roughly 3,000 square feet of backyard space and 40
          to 50 chickens, represents his "humble beginnings" as a
          farmer. 
 The story was originally reported by Yahoo Sports last year and
          started circulating the internet again this week following the
          Broncos Super Bowl win over the Panthers. Miller said he dreams of
          retiring to be a chicken farmer, but on a much larger scale.
          Following his career, Miller says he wants to expand when he's done
          playing football, adding he'd like to build relationships with
          chicken farmers across the world.
 
 One of several stories on Miller and his days at TAMU can be read by jumping
          here.
 |    |  
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