From: Ron Hays [] on behalf of Ron Hays []
Sent: Wednesday, May 13, 2009 6:45 AM
Subject: Oklahoma's Farm News Update
Oklahoma's latest farm and ranch news
Your Update from Ron Hays of RON for Wednesday May 13, 2009
A service of Producers Cooperative Oil Mill, KIS Futures and American Farmers & Ranchers Mutual Insurance Company!
-- USDA Adds Weight to "Half a Crop" Expectations for the 2009 Oklahoma Wheat Harvest
-- The Worry of Wetness
-- Lucas Dubious of Ag Making Money Under Cap and Trade
-- Pondering Peanuts- Another Option to Follow Frozen Wheat
-- General Economy Still Too Shaky to Provide Much Demand Relief for Beef
-- Pastora Just Now Becoming Available in Oklahoma
-- The Argument for Farmers and Ranchers Joining the Conversation on Twitter
-- Let's Check the Markets!

Howdy Neighbors!

Here's your morning farm news headlines from the Director of Farm Programming for the Radio Oklahoma Network, Ron Hays. We are proud to have American Farmers & Ranchers Mutual Insurance Company as a regular sponsor of our daily update- click here to go to their AFR web site to learn more about their efforts to serve rural America!

We are also excited to have as one of our sponsors for the daily email Producers Cooperative Oil Mill, with 64 years of progress through producer ownership. Call Brandon Winters at 405-232-7555 for more information on the oilseed crops they handle, including sunflowers and canola- and remember they post closing market prices for canola and sunflowers on the PCOM website- go there by clicking here.
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USDA Adds Weight to "Half a Crop" Expectations for the 2009 Oklahoma Wheat Harvest
All winter wheat crop production is down some 20% from last year's harvest, based on the May first snapshot as released by USDA Tuesday morning. In Oklahoma, the number is much more dramatic, as the Oklahoma Wheat Crop is facing a 52% falloff from 2008- pegged by USDA at 80.5 million bushels. If realized, you have to go to the 1955 crop year and a production disaster of just 24.1 million bushels to find a smaller crop than what 2009 is shaping up to be for Oklahoma.

The Kansas crop is slightly above the Kansas Crop Tour guesstimate of 333.3 million bushels- USDA calls the crop at 340 million bushels- off 4.5% from a year ago. The Texas winter wheat is projected at 64.8 million bushels.

In talking with Tom Leffler, he believes that these numbers that are slightly bigger than we saw from the crop tours of this past week do not reflect the more recent conditions the crop tour participants had available to them. Leffler sees a trend to lower numbers, especially for Oklahoma and Texas, where the number of acres that will be abandoned is still very much a wildcard.

Our story on our website has a link to the full USDA report, as well as some comments from Tom Leffler on these numbers. Click on the link below to jump to that story.

Click here for more on the Tuesday morning USDA Wheat Production Estimates

The Worry of Wetness
OSU State Wheat Specialist Dr. Jeff Edwards remembers the wheat harvest woes of a couple of years ago- when it started raining in May and didn't really ever stop until July for large areas of Oklahoma. We had expected a short crop in 2007- and it just got worse and worse with each day of harvest delaying rains.

Could 2009 be a repeat? It's too early to make those assumptions, but Edwards is concerned. He says already the continuing rains are causing damage to the potential yields and quality of what crop that Oklahoma wheat farmers have left. Only in the Panhandle has there been any mention of needing one more rain to make the 2009 wheat crop a success.

Besides the need for going to Prayer Meeting and asking for a pause in the rain- Dr. Edwards says that farmers need to be watching for Armyworms- the numbers are building in some locations. He also says that disease problems are showing with the wet weather- but that it is too late to spray this year in the vast majority of Oklahoma's wheat fields for 2009. Click on the link below and hear Edwards and what he sees for the 2009 wheat crop, as he described it to me this week while in Canadian County.

Click here for our conversation with State Wheat Specialist Dr. Jeff Edwards of OSU

Lucas Dubious of Ag Making Money Under Cap and Trade
Back in April, the Top Republican on the House Ag Committee addressed the National Association of Farm Broadcasting's Washington Watch Event- and he roared out his concerns about "Cap and Trade" legislation that may be moved later this year or early next by the Democratically controlled House. He told farm broadcasters across the country "as a lifelong rancher, as a student of Agriculture economics, and as the Ranking Member of the House Agriculture Committee, I have very serious concerns about cap and trade and its impact on rural economies. Cap and trade is nothing more than a national energy tax, and the effects will be far-reaching to businesses, consumers, and even more so to rural America. We are looking at the most amazing tax increase of all time."

These comments line up with what he told a group of wheat producers on Monday May 11 in Canadian County, Oklahoma in his home district. He sees Cap and Trade as a massive transfer of wealth in the name of saving the planet- with the real reason for it to be moved at any cost is the need of having that pot of money to pay for nationalizing health care in the US and putting every health care professional in the country to work for Uncle Sam.

The Congressman adds that there is little chance that agriculture will benefit from Cap and Trade- but rather will have more regulations and more cost piled on in virtually every farming or ranching activity they are involved in.
We captured some of Frank Lucas' comments made at the Canadian County Wheat Tour earlier this week- and we have his Cap and Trade comments up on our website as a Podcast. Click on the link below and you can listen to what the Congressman from Roger Mills County had to say to wheat farmers on this subject this week.

Click here for more on the Congressman Frank Lucas being in the state of Dubious Over Climate Change legislation

Pondering Peanuts- Another Option to Follow Frozen Wheat
Farmers all across south central and southwestern Oklahoma are evaluating cropping options to replace revenue from a failed wheat crop derailed by early drought and late freeze. Normally, late May thru June is harvest time in an area that may see more planters rolling this year, than combines.

According to Dr Chad Godsey, OSU Extension Cropping Systems Specialist farmers may be turning to peanuts as a logical source of revenue replacement. "Potentially, peanuts offer a higher net return compared to other crops", says Godsey, "particularly on irrigated sandy and sandy loam farms that suffered loss of a wheat crop".

Spanish type peanut varieties may be a perfect fit for the farmer looking for a short season crop that will allow wheat to be planted this fall. With maturity in 120-130 days, Godsey suggests "planted now behind failed wheat or up to June 15 after harvest will allow plenty of time to drill small grains in October. And since peanuts are a legume, they fix nitrogen in the soil, which should reduce the total nitrogen needed by your wheat crop."
In addition, Mike Kubicek of the Oklahoma Peanut Commission says that prices for the short season Spanish peanuts are up- and could deliver some needed cash flow to a farmer's balance sheet later this year.

Click here for more on Peanuts as one more choice to replace wheat acres that have failed due to the freeze of early April

General Economy Still Too Shaky to Provide Much Demand Relief for Beef
Extension Livestock Market Economist Dr. Jim Mintert believes we are still not to the place in the general economy where people are ready to start spending a lot of dollars on a high quality steak in a restaurant. Weak demand in our middle meats has been with us for about a year now- and Mintert says that demand for this part of the cattle carcass may or may not return later this year.

We talk about this lingering problem with the soon to be former Extension Livestock Market Economist at K-State, Dr. James Mintert, and he does not see the general economy offering immediate demand help to the movement of steaks for the white table cloth restaurants.

Click on our link below and check out today's Beef Buzz- and remember that we have lots of previous Beef Buzz shows for you to check out as well- all on our website, www.OklahomaFarmReport.Com.

Click here for our Wednesday Beef Buzz with Dr. Jim Mintert of K-State on Macro Economics and Beef Demand

Pastora Just Now Becoming Available in Oklahoma
One interesting tidbit that we heard this week while in Canadian County came from Mike Johnson of DuPont, who helped greet the wheat farmers at the Wheat Field Tour put together by Brad Tipton, Canadian County Ag Extension Agent.

Johnson mentioned that we have an Emergency label for Pastora, a DuPont product, to be used for Sandbur control here in Oklahoma this spring. We reported this a couple of weeks ago- our link to our original story is below- but based on what Mike told the farmers- actual product is just now becoming available.

If you have questions about this chemical and its availability, check with your local ag chemical dealer- or you can email me and I will pass along your name to Mike Johnson.

Click here for our earlier story on Pastora for use on Sandbur in Bermuda grass.

The Argument for Farmers and Ranchers Joining the Conversation on Twitter
We have been telling you about the relatively new social media outlet called Twitter, where you can send and receive short messages- you get messages from people you choose to "follow" while your messages are read by those who "follow" you. Ag PR consultant Michelle Payn-Knopper says it is a medium that farmers and ranchers need to engage.

She says "The power of Twitter is in the conversation and community. The conversation is happening with or without agriculture. Communities are being engaged around issues such as animal rights, organics, GMOs, CAFOs sustainability, environmental regulations and other issues relevant to your business. Misinformation about modern agriculture is being proliferated."

Michelle adds "Are we going to change the minds of the extremists? No, but we can at least get agriculture's side of the story told far more effectively than what we have in mainstream media." You can read an article that she has written on farmers getting involved in Twitter by clicking here.
We Tweet- and you can follow us- and if you have not already done so- go to our website, look for the graphic on the left hand side of any page on our site and click on the little ad that says Follow Ron on Twitter.

What I really want you to do is to go check out how one Alabama dairy farmer is using Twitter- as well as Facebook and a website to boot. Gilmer Dairy Farm is nothing special when it comes to a production unit- they are like so many family sized farm operations around the country. The difference is that Will Gilmer understands that we must capture the attention of consumers- and then win them over to the belief that we take good care of our animals and the farmland we utilize. One tweet that Gilmer put out last night during something called an AgChat said it well "Everyone can rest easy knowing we've got our hand on the udder-taking good care of our cows!" We have a link to the Gilmer dairy Twitter account below- go and take a look- and sign up and follow Gilmer as well as yours truly. AND consider how you can be an Ambassador for our industry in your own way in places like Twitter. You can be a part of the Solution!

Click here to go and check out Gilmer Dairy Farm on Twitter

Our thanks to KIS Futures, Producers Cooperative Oil Mill and AFR for their support of our daily Farm News Update. For your convenience, we have our sponsors' websites linked at the top of the email- check them out and let these folks know you appreciate the support of this daily email, as their sponsorship helps us keep this arriving in your inbox on a regular basis!

We also invite you to check out our website at the link below to check out an archive of these daily emails, audio reports and top farm news story links from around the globe.

Click here to check out WWW.OklahomaFarmReport.Com

Let's Check the Markets!

Here are some links we will leave in place on an ongoing basis- Click on the name of the report to go to that link:
Our Daily Market Wrapup from the Radio Oklahoma Network with Ed Richards and Tom Leffler- analyzing the Futures Markets from the previous Day-
Ron on RON Markets as heard on K101 mornings with cash and futures reviewed- includes where the Cash Cattle market stands, the latest Feeder Cattle Markets Etc.
Previous Day's Wheat Market Recap- Two Pager From The Kansas City Board of Trade looks at all three US Wheat Futures Exchanges with extra info on Hard Red Winter Wheat and the why of that day's market.
Daily Oklahoma Cash Grain Prices- As Reported by the Oklahoma Dept. of Agriculture. <
The National Daily Feeder & Stocker Cattle Summary- as prepared by USDA.
The National Daily Slaughter Cattle Summary- as prepared by USDA.
Finally, Here is the Daily Volume and Price Summary from the Texas Cattle Feeders Association.

God Bless! You can reach us at the following:
phone: 405-473-6144

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