To view the latest Oklahoma drought map, CLICK HERE.
According to the latest Oklahoma drought monitor report, exceptional drought remains at zero percent, unchanged from the start of the calendar year.
Extreme drought or worse remains at zero percent, unchanged from the start of the calendar year.
Severe drought or worse is now at zero percent, improved from last week’s .19 percent.
Moderate drought or worse is now at 8.47 percent, improved slightly from last week’s 8.83 percent.
Abnormally dry or worse conditions are now at 37.86 percent, up from last week’s 33.76 percent.
According to the 6-to-10-day precipitation outlook map, the entire state is leaning above a 40 to 50 percent chance of precipitation through April 13th.
To view the United States Drought Map, click here.
According to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor, an active early springtime pattern continued through late March and into the beginning of April. A pair of low pressure systems and trailing cold fronts tracked across the east-central contiguous U.S. (CONUS). A swath of 1 to 3 inches of precipitation supported improvements extending from parts of the Midwest to southeastern Kansa and northeastern Oklahoma. However, moderate drought (D1) was introduced to the lower Ohio Valley which has missed out on precipitation during the late winter and early spring. Increasing short-term dryness and periods of enhanced winds led to expansion of abnormal dryness (D0) and moderate drought (D1) in southwestern Kansas, northwestern Oklahoma, and western Texas. March was relatively wet across Arizona where additional improvements were warranted before a drier time of year sets in later this spring. Below-normal snowpack supported an increase in D1 across the northern Cascades of Washington. 7-day (March 26 to April 1) temperatures averaged below (above)-normal across the western and north-central (eastern) CONUS. Alaska remains drought-free, while leeward sides of Hawaii had a broad 1-category degradation. Following recent improvement across much of Puerto Rico, no changes were made this past week.
In the Southern Plains, major drought relief, associated with El Nino, occurred this past winter across the lower Mississippi Valley. However, there remains a lingering long-term drought across parts of western Tennessee and northern Mississippi. On April 1, locally heavy rainfall (more than 1.5 inch) resulted in small improvements to northeastern Oklahoma. Farther to the west across the southern high Plains, short-term dryness is increasing. Enhanced winds, elevated wildfire risk, and blowing dust have been quite frequent the past few weeks due to low pressure systems forming to the lee of the Rockies. Based on 30 to 60-day SPI, an expansion of abnormal dryness (D0) and moderate drought (D1) was warranted for parts of northwestern Oklahoma and western Texas.
In the High Plains, the northern to central Great Plains along with the central Rockies remained either status quo this week or had a 1-category improvement. Locally heavy precipitation (more than 1 inch) led to targeted improvements across southeastern Kansas. Lighter precipitation (0.25 to 1 inch) supported minor improvements to South Dakota. Based on SPIs at various time scales along with snow water equivalent close to average, improvements were necessary for parts of northern Colorado and southern Wyoming. 30-day SPEI and GRACE-based soil moisture supported a large increase in abnormal dryness (D0) across southwestern Kansas along with a slight expansion of moderate drought (D1) to the west of Wichita.
In the West, multiple low pressure systems and enhanced onshore flow resulted in above-average precipitation for much of Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California from March 26 to April 1. According to the California Department of Water Resources on April 2, snow water equivalent (SWE) averaged at or slightly above normal for the Sierra Nevada Mountains. A relatively wet March and widespread precipitation amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch, liquid equivalent, this past week supported improvements for Arizona. Given the recent precipitation, the drought impact was modified to reflect only long-term drought for most of Arizona. This region will be reevaluated next week and additional revisions may be warranted. Eastern and southern New Mexico have remained mostly dry during the past 30 days. According to USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service, 81 percent of New Mexico topsoil moisture is rated as short to very short. Washington, northern Idaho, and western Montana have below-normal SWE heading into early April. Abnormal dryness (D0) and moderate drought (D1) was expanded across the northern Cascade Mountains of Washington due to this low snowpack.
Looking ahead, during the next five days (April 4-8, 2024), drier weather is forecast to overspread the Midwest and East behind a cold front. Another low pressure system is forecast to track inland to the West with another round of rain and high-elevation snow from California east to the north-central Rockies. Later on April 8, precipitation is expected to develop across the southern Great Plains and lower Mississippi Valley.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6-10 day outlook (valid April 9-13, 2024) depicts a pattern change by mid-April with a drying trend for the West. Below-normal precipitation is favored for this region along with the northern Great Plains. Elsewhere, across the central to southern Great Plains, Midwest, and East, above-normal precipitation is more likely. Above-normal temperatures are favored for much of the lower 48 states except for parts of New Mexico and western Texas where increased below-normal temperature probabilities are forecast.
To view the 6-10 Day Precipitation Outlook Map, click here.
To view the 6-10 Day Temperature Outlook Map, click here.
To view the Monthly Drought Outlook Map, click here.
